February 7, 2020
Trump’s trade war is making American family incomes decrease by $1,277 a year: government
President Donald Trump’s trade war is projected to reduce the average family’s real income by $1,277, according to a new report from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).
And despite Trump’s claim that his policies have led to historic economic growth, the CBO projects that the economy will grow by just 1.7% through 2030.
Trump had claimed that the economy would grow by 4 to 6% but growth has been barely over 2% in each of the last three quarters, slower than during the final three years of the Obama administration.
The CBO report is just the latest research showing the consequences to consumers from Trump’s trade war.
A 2019 New York Federal Reserve
report showed that the costs of the tariffs were passed on entirely to consumers in the form of higher prices with “no impact” on foreign exporters.
A report by economists on the Federal Reserve Board
published in December further showed that the tariffs hurt the manufacturing industry that they were intended to protect. The report found that the tariffs gave manufacturers a “small boost” but it was soon “offset by larger drags from the effects” of rising costs and retaliatory tariffs. As a result, manufacturing employment fell while prices to consumers continued to increase, causing a recession in the manufacturing sector for much of last year.
Gary Hufbauer, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics,
predicted to the outlet that the annual cost to households could continue to increase despite Trump’s highly-touted new trade deals.
“For the average household it will be a net loss, no doubt,” he said. “It will be painful.”
The report also added that the tariffs “directly affect deficits and debt.” The report projected the federal budget deficit to increase to $1 trillion this year and will average $1.3 trillion per year through 2030.
The federal debt is projected to grow from 81% of the GDP in 2020 to 98% of the GDP in 2030 and 180% of the GDP in 2050.